Medicare Advantage's Retreat: From the 2026 Rate Hike to the 2027 Plan Exits and Open Enrollment
CMS raised Medicare Advantage payments 5.06% for 2026, then launched an every-contract annual RADV audit strategy aimed at unsupported risk-adjustment diagnoses. The audit effort has been constrained by a court ruling vacating the extrapolation rule, and CMS has not yet decided whether to collect extrapolated payment-year 2024 overpayments. For 2027, CMS finalized a 2.48% payment increase, but major insurers have still cut plans, counties, benefits, broker commissions, or entire state footprints as they seek to improve margins. Open enrollment for 2027 begins October 15 amid fewer plan choices, more counties with no general-enrollment MA-PD option, and continuing litigation over the star ratings that determine quality bonus payments.
Key moments
- Apr 7, 2025CMS finalizes 2026 Medicare Advantage rates: a 5.06 percent increase, about $25 billion more for plans
- May 21, 2025CMS says it will audit every Medicare Advantage contract every year and clear the 2018 to 2024 backlog
- Sep 25, 2025Judge O'Connor vacates the 2023 RADV audit rule that let CMS extrapolate overpayments
- Feb 24, 2026Enrollment data: MA grows only 3 percent to 35.5 million; UnitedHealthcare down 9 percent since October
- Apr 6, 2026CMS finalizes 2027 rates at 2.48 percent, over $13 billion, up from the near-zero proposal
- May 27, 2026Clover wins a ruling that CMS exceeded its authority on ten star-ratings measures
- Jul 16, 2026UnitedHealth's MA membership is down 965,000 since year-end as it plans 'selective changes in market participation' for 2027
- Jul 29, 2026Humana will drop 2027 plans covering about 600,000 members, 8 percent of its base
- Aug 28, 2026CMS defers decision on collecting extrapolated RADV overpayments
- Sep 28, 2026CMS projects about 5,532 Medicare Advantage plans for 2027
- Oct 8, 2026CMS releases 2027 Medicare Advantage and Part D star ratings
- Oct 9, 2026KFF reports 193 counties will have no general-enrollment MA-PD plan
Timeline
Earlier years show only their entries' dates and titles. Click a year heading to show the details.
202646 entries
- ReportKey moment
KFF reports 193 counties will have no general-enrollment MA-PD plan
KFF reported that Medicare beneficiaries in 193 counties will have no MA-PD plans available for general enrollment in 2027. KFF said this was an increase from 123 counties in 2026.
- KFF · Oct 9, 2026 ·
For 2027, Medicare beneficiaries residing in 193 counties will have no MA-PDs available for general enrollment, an increase from 123 counties in 2026.
Editor's note: KFF’s October 9, 2026 page states that beneficiaries in 193 counties will have no MA-PDs available for general enrollment in 2027, up from 123 counties in 2026.
- KFF · Oct 9, 2026 ·
- Legal
Alignment Healthcare sues CMS over 2027 star-ratings methodology
Alignment Healthcare filed a lawsuit against CMS in District of Columbia federal court over the methodology for 2027 Medicare Advantage Star Ratings. The insurer alleged that CMS departed from a system of predictable, valid measures developed with input from providers, plans, and the public.
- Fierce Healthcare · Oct 12, 2026 ·
In the lawsuit filed Friday in District of Columbia federal court, the insurer says that the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services "has completely departed from Congress’s vision of leveraging predictable, valid measures developed with input from providers, plans, and the public" in establishing the methodology for the star ratings.
Editor's note: The cited Fierce Healthcare article states that Alignment filed suit Friday in District of Columbia federal court over CMS's 2027 Star Ratings methodology and includes the quoted allegation. Published October 12, 2026, its reference to the preceding Friday supports October 9, 2026.
- Fierce Healthcare · Oct 12, 2026 ·
- Announcement
Clover Health says its PPO MA plans earned five stars for 2027
Clover Health said CMS awarded its PPO Medicare Advantage plans five stars and its HMO plan 4.5 stars for 2027. Clover Health said the ratings would affect payment year 2028.
- Clover Health · Oct 8, 2026 ·
Clover Health Investments, Corp. (Nasdaq: CLOV) (“Clover,” “Clover Health” or the “Company”), today announced that the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (“CMS”) has awarded its PPO Medicare Advantage (“MA”) plans a rating of 5 Stars and its HMO MA plan a rating of 4.5 Stars for 2027, which will affect payment year 2028.
Editor's note: The cited Clover Health release, dated October 8, 2026, states that CMS awarded its PPO MA plans 5 Stars and HMO MA plan 4.5 Stars for 2027, affecting payment year 2028.
- Clover Health · Oct 8, 2026 ·
- Announcement
Aetna says over 69 percent of MA members are in four-star plans
Aetna said more than 69% of its Medicare Advantage members were in 2027 plans rated four stars or higher. The ratings were assigned by CMS.
- CVS Health/Aetna · Oct 8, 2026 ·
announced today that more than 69 percent of its Medicare Advantage (MA) members are in 2027 plans rated 4 stars or higher (out of 5 stars) by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS).
Editor's note: The cited Aetna/CVS Health release states that more than 69% of its Medicare Advantage members are in 2027 plans rated four stars or higher by CMS. It is published October 8, 2026 and says the CMS ratings data were published that day.
- CVS Health/Aetna · Oct 8, 2026 ·
- Announcement
Humana says 95 percent of MA members are in four-star plans
Humana said 95% of its Medicare Advantage members were enrolled in plans rated four stars or higher for 2027. Healthcare Dive reported that its analysis of CMS data put Humana's corresponding percentage at 93%.
- Humana · Oct 8, 2026 ·
today announced improved Star Ratings for 2027, highlighted by 95% of its Medicare Advantage members being enrolled in plans rated 4.0 stars or above by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS).
- Healthcare Dive · Oct 9, 2026 ·
Humana, which suffered a major ratings collapse two years ago, saw the percentage of its members in 4+star plans rocket from 41% in 2026 to 93% in 2027, according to a Healthcare Dive analysis of stars data released Thursday by the CMS.
Editor's note: Humana’s release states that 95% of its Medicare Advantage members are enrolled in 2027 plans rated 4.0 stars or above. Healthcare Dive reports its CMS-data analysis found 93% of Humana members in 4+ star plans for 2027; its Oct. 9 article says CMS released the data Thursday, Oct. 8.
- Humana · Oct 8, 2026 ·
- RegulatoryKey moment
CMS releases 2027 Medicare Advantage and Part D star ratings
CMS released its 2027 Star Ratings for Medicare Advantage and Medicare Part D plans. CMS said 188 MA-PD contracts, approximately 37% of those offered in 2027, earned four stars or higher.
- CMS · Oct 8, 2026 ·
Approximately 37% of MA-PDs (188 contracts) that will be offered in 2027 earned four stars or higher for their 2027 overall rating.
- Alignment Healthcare SEC Form 8-K · Oct 8, 2026 ·
On October 8, 2026, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (“CMS”) released its 2027 Star Ratings for Medicare Advantage (“Medicare Part C”) and Medicare Part D prescription drug plans.
Editor's note: Both cited pages state that CMS released the 2027 Medicare Advantage and Part D Star Ratings on October 8, 2026. The CMS fact sheet also gives the 188-contract, approximately 37%, four-stars-or-higher figure.
- CMS · Oct 8, 2026 ·
- Report
HCSC plans to cut its Medicare Advantage county footprint
Health Care Service Corporation will sell Medicare Advantage plans in 478 counties in 2027, down from 948, and will exit Connecticut, Kansas, Montana, New York, Oregon, Utah and Washington, D.C. Counting standard Medicare Advantage plans alone, the footprint falls from 948 counties to 450, the largest county exit of any insurer, following HCSC's purchase of Cigna's Medicare business in 2025. Its sharpest pullbacks are in its own Blue Cross Blue Shield states, where Texas falls from 229 counties to 47.
- Becker’s Hospital Review · Oct 1, 2026 ·
HCSC will sell MA plans in 478 counties in 2027, down from 948, and exit Connecticut, Kansas, Montana, New York, Oregon, Utah and Washington, D.C.
Editor's note: The cited Becker's page states that HCSC will sell Medicare Advantage plans in 478 counties in 2027, down from 948, and will exit the seven listed jurisdictions. The page was published October 1, 2026.
- Becker’s Hospital Review · Oct 1, 2026 ·
- Announcement
Highmark retains all 2026 Medicare Advantage states and counties
Highmark said it would operate in every state and county where it offered a Medicare Advantage plan in 2026. It said plan changes would vary by geography and plan for 2027.
- Highmark · Oct 1, 2026 ·
For 2027, Highmark will continue to operate in all of the states and counties where it offered a Medicare Advantage plan in 2026, however there will be changes that vary by geography and plan, with the changes focused on maintaining affordability and preserving access to meaningful coverage.
Editor's note: The page states that Highmark will continue operating in all states and counties where it offered Medicare Advantage plans in 2026, with 2027 changes varying by geography and plan. It is dated Thursday, October 1, 2026.
- Highmark · Oct 1, 2026 ·
- Report
Healthcare Dive reports UnitedHealthcare dental-benefit reductions
Healthcare Dive reported that cuts to UnitedHealthcare's dental benefits affected almost 70 percent of its members, citing Leerink analyst Whit Mayo. UnitedHealth Group said all members would have access to $0 primary-care and preventive-care services.
- Healthcare Dive · Oct 1, 2026 ·
However, cuts to UnitedHealthcare’s dental benefits affected almost 70% of its members, Leerink analyst Whit Mayo found.
- UnitedHealth Group · Oct 1, 2026 ·
All members will have access to $0 primary care visits, $0 preventive care services and $0 Tier 1 prescription drug copays in 2027.
Editor's note: Editor: dropped a claim that $0 Tier 1 prescription-drug copays were also retained, which the cited report does not carry; it names primary care and preventive care only.
- Healthcare Dive · Oct 1, 2026 ·
- Report
KFF reports fewer MA-PD plan choices for 2027
KFF reported that Medicare beneficiaries will have an average of 28 Medicare Advantage prescription-drug plan options in 2027. That was down from an average of 32 options in 2026, excluding employer plans and special-needs plans not open for general enrollment.
- KFF · Oct 1, 2026 ·
KFF’s analysis of plan offerings shows that, on average, Medicare beneficiaries will have the option of 28 Medicare Advantage prescription drug (MA-PD) plans in 2027, a decline from the 32 options available in 2026 (excluding employer plans and special needs plans not available for general enrollment).
Editor's note: The KFF page states that the average beneficiary will have 28 MA-PD options in 2027, down from 32 in 2026, with the specified exclusions. It is published October 1, 2026.
- KFF · Oct 1, 2026 ·
- Report
Healthcare Dive reports UnitedHealthcare and Humana plan cuts for 2027
Healthcare Dive reported that UnitedHealthcare was removing about 690 Medicare Advantage plans for 2027. It reported that Humana was removing about 2,400 plans.
- Healthcare Dive · Sep 29, 2026 ·
UnitedHealthcare, the largest MA insurer, is nixing about 690 plans, while Humana, the second-largest, is culling about 2,400.
- UnitedHealth Group · Oct 1, 2026 ·
Approximately 95% of Medicare-eligible individuals in UnitedHealthcare's footprint will have access to a Medicare Advantage HMO plan in 2027, with most having a $0 premium.
- UnitedHealthcare · Oct 1, 2026 ·
Effective Jan. 1, 2027, we’re making some changes to UnitedHealthcare® Medicare Advantage service areas and discontinuing some plans.
- Reuters, via The Business Standard · Oct 1, 2026 ·
Hunter said UnitedHealth next year will exit locations where it currently offers a higher proportion of preferred provider organizations, or those that give members an option to see providers outside of the plan network.
Editor's note: Date corrected from 2026-09-28 to 2026-09-29. The page states that UnitedHealthcare is nixing about 690 plans and Humana is culling about 2,400 for 2027. It was published on September 29, 2026, not September 28, 2026.
- Healthcare Dive · Sep 29, 2026 ·
- AnnouncementKey moment
CMS projects about 5,532 Medicare Advantage plans for 2027
CMS projected approximately 5,532 Medicare Advantage plans nationally for 2027. It said the figure would be down from 5,553 plans in 2026.
- CMS · Sep 28, 2026 ·
The total number of available MA plans nationally is expected to remain relatively stable, changing from 5,553 in 2026 to approximately 5,532 in 2027.
Editor's note: The CMS press release states that available MA plans nationally are expected to change from 5,553 in 2026 to approximately 5,532 in 2027. The page is dated 2026-09-28.
- CMS · Sep 28, 2026 ·
- Regulatory
CMS opens PY2024 RADV medical-record submission window
CMS scheduled the payment-year 2024 RADV medical-record submission window to open on September 18, 2026. Selected Medicare Advantage organizations must submit records and coversheets through the Centralized Data Abstraction Tool.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Aug 28, 2026 ·
MR submission window opens: September 18, 2026.
Editor's note: The document's Important Dates section states that the PY 2024 RADV medical-record submission window opens on September 18, 2026. It also instructs audited MA organizations to submit medical records and coversheets through CDAT.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Aug 28, 2026 ·
- Legal
House Ways and Means advances H.R. 4093
The House Ways and Means Committee ordered H.R. 4093 favorably reported as amended by a 25–15 vote. The committee adopted a substitute amendment and rejected a Doggett amendment by a 16–21 roll-call vote.
- House Ways and Means Committee · Sep 16, 2026 ·
Amendment filed by Mr. Doggett to H.R. 4093 was not agreed to by a roll call vote of 16 yeas and 21 nays.
- Healthcare Leadership Council · Sep 16, 2026 ·
Greater transparency will support smarter policymaking and help seniors make more informed decisions about the coverage that best meets their healthcare needs.
Editor's note: The page states that H.R. 4093 was ordered favorably reported as amended by a 25–15 roll-call vote, that the substitute amendment passed by voice vote, and that the Doggett amendment failed 16–21. The page dates the markup September 16, 2026.
- House Ways and Means Committee · Sep 16, 2026 ·
- Update
Aetna stops commissions on certain Medicare Advantage plans
Aetna stopped paying broker commissions on certain Medicare Advantage plans on September 15. Becker’s reported that Aetna confirmed the change.
- Becker’s Payer Issues · Aug 21, 2026 ·
Aetna will stop paying broker commissions on certain Medicare Advantage plans beginning Sept. 15, the company confirmed to Becker’s.
Editor's note: The page states that Aetna will stop paying broker commissions on certain Medicare Advantage plans beginning September 15, 2026, and says the company confirmed this to Becker’s.
- Becker’s Payer Issues · Aug 21, 2026 ·
- Regulatory
CMS makes PY2024 RADV audit enrollee lists available
CMS made enrollee data lists available in CDAT for selected payment-year 2024 contract-specific RADV audits. The guidance set September 11, 2026, as the date for viewing and downloading the lists.
- CMS · Aug 28, 2026 ·
“EDL available in CDAT for viewing and downloading: September 11, 2026.”
Editor's note: The document states that CMS will make an enrollee data list available in the audited contract's CDAT portal and lists “EDL available in CDAT for viewing and downloading: September 11, 2026” among its important dates.
- CMS · Aug 28, 2026 ·
- Regulatory
CMS opens second preview for preliminary 2027 star ratings
CMS made its second plan preview available from September 9 through September 15, 2026. The preview process includes draft cut points before official Medicare Advantage ratings are released.
- CMS memorandum via DocumentCloud · Sep 8, 2026 ·
“The second plan preview will be available starting September 9, 2026 and will end on September 15, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. Pacific time.”
- Healthcare Dive · Sep 10, 2026 ·
“Earlier this week, the CMS released draft cutpoints, the thresholds the agency uses to convert MA plans’ quality and performance scores into a 1 to 5 star rating, as part of the preview process before regulators announce official results in early October.”
Editor's note: The memo states that the second plan preview starts September 9, 2026 and ends September 15, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. Pacific time. It also says measure-level cut points are available during the preview and that the Star Ratings data are preliminary before the final release.
- CMS memorandum via DocumentCloud · Sep 8, 2026 ·
- Report
Plan non-renewal letters are due by October 2; open enrollment runs October 15 to December 7
With insurers having told investors which 2027 plans will end on December 31, members learn by letter in early October, leaving a window before open enrollment closes on December 7. Those whose plan is terminated get a guaranteed-issue right to buy Medigap if they return to Original Medicare, a protection lost if they simply pick another MA plan.
- 24/7 Wall St. · Sep 5, 2026 ·
Insurers spent the summer telling Wall Street exactly which Medicare Advantage plans are disappearing on December 31. Enrolled members get a letter in October, a closing enrollment window in December, and a rare legal protection most will never realize they… This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.
- 24/7 Wall St. · Sep 5, 2026 ·
- Report
MedPAC reports variation in risk-standardized MA plan bids
The Medicare Payment Advisory Commission presented preliminary analysis of 2024 Medicare Advantage HMO and PPO bids. It found that the 90th-percentile risk- and geography-standardized bid was about 40 percent higher than the 10th-percentile bid.
- Medicare Payment Advisory Commission · Sep 4, 2026 ·
After risk and geographic standardization, 90th percentile bid was about 40 percent higher than 10th percentile bid.
Editor's note: The presentation is dated September 4, 2026 and describes a preliminary analysis of 2024 Medicare Advantage HMO and PPO plan bids. It states that, after risk and geographic standardization, the 90th-percentile bid was about 40 percent higher than the 10th-percentile bid.
- Medicare Payment Advisory Commission · Sep 4, 2026 ·
- Announcement
UnitedHealthcare removes 30 percent of prior authorization requirements
UnitedHealthcare said it would eliminate 30 percent of prior-authorization requirements beginning October 1, 2026. The reduction includes commercial, Medicare Advantage, Medicaid, and Affordable Care Act plans.
- UnitedHealthcare · Sep 1, 2026 ·
“That’s why beginning Oct. 1, 2026, we’re eliminating 30% of prior authorization requirements for the following plans:”
- Healthcare Dive · Sep 2, 2026 ·
“The insurance giant sent a memo to providers on Tuesday disclosing the codes, which it said amounted to roughly 30% of its preapproval requirements for its commercial, Medicare Advantage, Medicaid and Affordable Care Act plans.”
responded to Insurers pledge to Kennedy and Oz to cut prior authorization by 2026 and standardize it by 2027.
Editor's note: The page is dated September 1, 2026 and states that UnitedHealthcare will eliminate 30% of prior authorization requirements beginning October 1, 2026. It lists commercial, Medicare Advantage, Community, Individual Exchange, and Oxford plans.
- UnitedHealthcare · Sep 1, 2026 ·
- RegulatoryKey moment
CMS defers decision on collecting extrapolated RADV overpayments
The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services issued payment-year 2024 RADV audit methods guidance. CMS said it had not decided whether it would collect extrapolated overpayments or only errors associated with sampled enrollees.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Aug 28, 2026 ·
CMS has not yet decided whether it will collect extrapolated overpayment amounts or only overpayments associated with the sampled enrollees for these audits.
Editor's note: The document is CMS's Payment Year 2024 Medicare Advantage Contract-Specific RADV Audit Methods and Instructions, published 2026-08-28. It states verbatim that CMS had not yet decided whether to collect extrapolated overpayments or only overpayments associated with sampled enrollees.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Aug 28, 2026 ·
- Legal
Federal judge denies Elevance star-ratings preliminary injunction
The U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Georgia denied Elevance Health's motion for a preliminary injunction over its Medicare Advantage star ratings. The court also denied the government's motion to dismiss the case.
- U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Georgia order, reproduced by Justia · Aug 27, 2026 ·
ORDER denying #34 Motion to Dismiss; denying #7 Motion for Preliminary Injunction.
Editor's note: The order states that the Southern District of Georgia denied both the government's Motion to Dismiss and Elevance's Motion for Preliminary Injunction. It was signed by Judge Lisa G. Wood on 2026-08-27.
- U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Georgia order, reproduced by Justia · Aug 27, 2026 ·
- Legal
The Villages Health System agrees to $541.5 million FCA settlement
The Villages Health System agreed to a $541.5 million settlement resolving self-disclosed False Claims Act allegations concerning Medicare Advantage diagnosis codes. The U.S. Department of Justice alleged that unsupported codes increased Medicare Advantage payments; the settlement did not determine liability.
- U.S. Department of Justice · Aug 26, 2026 ·
The Villages Health System LLC (TVH), a healthcare provider group headquartered in The Villages, Florida, has agreed to a $541.5 million settlement to resolve self-disclosed allegations that it violated the False Claims Act by causing the submission of false diagnosis codes in order to increase payments that they received from the Medicare Advantage program.
- Healthcare Dive · Aug 27, 2026 ·
The Villages Health, a healthcare provider in Central Florida, has agreed to pay $541.5 million to settle allegations that it overbilled Medicare, the Department of Justice announced Wednesday.
Editor's note: The DOJ page states that TVH agreed to a $541.5 million settlement over self-disclosed False Claims Act allegations involving false Medicare Advantage diagnosis codes, and says the claims are allegations only with no determination of liability. It is dated August 26, 2026.
- U.S. Department of Justice · Aug 26, 2026 ·
- Announcement
Centene will cut Medicare Advantage plans and exit three states in 2027
Centene told third-party marketing organisations it would withdraw completely from Oklahoma, Tennessee and Hawaii for 2027, part of a cost-cutting retreat from Medicare Advantage. Trade reporting put the pullback at 133 plans across 158 counties and roughly 340,000 members.
- KFF Health News Morning Briefing (Modern Healthcare) · Aug 21, 2026 ·
“The insurer plans to completely withdraw from Oklahoma, Tennessee and Hawaii, according to a notice the company distributed to third-party marketing organizations last week.”
- Modern Healthcare · Aug 20, 2026 ·
Centene is scaling back its Medicare Advantage presence next year as the health insurance company looks to cut costs.
- The Healthcare Labyrinth · Aug 20, 2026 ·
Current reporting indicates Centene will leave Oklahoma, Tennessee and Hawaii, eliminating 133 plans across 158 counties and affecting approximately 340,000 members.
Editor's note: Hand-checked: the withdrawal sentence appears verbatim in the KFF Health News Morning Briefing of August 21, 2026, which carries the Modern Healthcare report of 8/20; the Modern Healthcare lede and the plan, county and member counts were each read on their own pages.
- KFF Health News Morning Briefing (Modern Healthcare) · Aug 21, 2026 ·
- Announcement
Providence Health Plan will close entirely after its Medicare Advantage deal collapses
Providence Health Plan said it was shutting down completely after a deal with a national insurer to keep its Medicare Advantage business running fell through. The failed agreement affects more than 64,000 MA members, on top of the more than 260,000 commercial and 58,000 Medicaid enrollees covered by the wind-down it announced in May, most of them in Oregon.
- Healthcare Dive · Aug 19, 2026 ·
“Providence Health Plan is completely shutting down, after a deal with a national insurer to keep its Medicare Advantage business running fell through.”
- Healthcare Finance News · Aug 19, 2026 ·
More than 64,000 Medicare Advantage members are affected by the failed agreement.
Editor's note: Hand-checked against Healthcare Dive of August 19, 2026 and Healthcare Finance News; both quoted sentences appear on their pages. The broker-blog source for the withdrawn bid was dropped.
- Healthcare Dive · Aug 19, 2026 ·
- Report
UnitedHealthcare considers leaving 34 MA counties for 2027
A preliminary broker filing indicated that UnitedHealthcare was considering leaving 34 Medicare Advantage counties in 12 states for 2027. The filing was not final.
- Healthcare Dive · Sep 9, 2026 ·
UnitedHealthcare is considering leaving 34 counties in 12 states, according to a preliminary filing with brokers reviewed by Modern Healthcare in August.
Editor's note: The article states that UnitedHealthcare was considering leaving 34 counties in 12 states based on a preliminary broker filing reviewed in August, and that the list was not final. The article was published September 9, 2026, so the node's August 2026 date accurately reflects the filing/reporting event.
- Healthcare Dive · Sep 9, 2026 ·
- FinancialKey moment
Humana will drop 2027 plans covering about 600,000 members, 8 percent of its base
On its second-quarter call CFO Celeste Mellet confirmed that Humana's 2027 plan exits would affect roughly 600,000 members, concentrated in the least profitable plans, most rated 3.5 stars or lower for the 2027 bonus year, while the company expected to recapture a share similar to the 40-plus percent it kept after the 2025 exits. Non-renewal letters go out in September and October.
- Becker's Payer Issues · Jul 29, 2026 ·
Humana expects Medicare Advantage plan exits next year to affect around 600,000 members as the insurer continues to focus on margin recovery. “We will work to recapture a significant portion of that volume as we did in 2025,” CFO Celeste Mellet said on the company’s July 29 second quarter earnings call.
- 24/7 Wall St. (via Yahoo Finance) · Aug 15, 2026 ·
Humana (NYSE: HUM) confirmed the exits on its July 29, 2026 earnings call, and CFO Celeste Mellet was blunt about the scope: "For 2027, we anticipate these plan exits will impact approximately 600,000 members, though we will work to recapture a significant portion of that volume as we did in 2025." salarko / iStock via Getty Images That is about 8% of Humana's 7.2 million MA members.
- Business Wire, via AOL · Oct 1, 2026 ·
Medicare Advantage plans in approximately 2,600 counties across 45 states and Washington, D.C., representing more than 80% of U.S. counties.
- Becker's Payer Issues · Jul 29, 2026 ·
- Regulatory
2027 Part D base premium set at $41.33 under the IRA's 6 percent cap
CMS released the 2027 Part D national average bid and base beneficiary premium, $41.33, up from $38.99 in 2026, with the increase held to the Inflation Reduction Act's 6 percent-a-year premium stabilization limit. In the same release CMS said the Part D premium stabilization demonstration that had subsidised standalone drug plans in 2025 and 2026 would end, leaving plans to price the redesigned benefit on their own for 2027.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Jul 28, 2026 ·
For 2027, the base beneficiary premium will be $41.33.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Jul 28, 2026 ·
- Legal
CMS files notice appealing Clover star-ratings ruling
CMS filed a notice of appeal to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit against the May ruling that it had exceeded its authority on ten star-ratings measures, according to Clover's 10-Q and a Becker's report citing a July 21 court filing; the appellate docket shows the case opened July 22. CMS had meanwhile recalculated Clover's rating to 4.5 stars and begun recalculating other 2027 quality-bonus ratings.
- Clover Health Form 10-Q · Aug 5, 2026 ·
On July 21, 2026, CMS filed its Notice of Appeal of the district court's decision in the Stars Litigation with the United States Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit.
- Becker’s Hospital Review · Jul 22, 2026 ·
The case will now move to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit, according to a July 21 court filing.
- Georgetown Law Health Care Litigation Tracker ·
Date Filed July 22, 2026
responded to Clover wins a ruling that CMS exceeded its authority on ten star-ratings measures.
Editor's note: Hand-checked: Clover 10-Q and Becker's date the notice July 21; the Eleventh Circuit docket opened July 22.
- Clover Health Form 10-Q · Aug 5, 2026 ·
- Report
GAO finds gaps in CMS plans for RADV audits
GAO found that CMS corrective-action plans were not sufficiently detailed and did not adequately monitor progress. The report addressed improper-payment and fraud risks in Medicare Advantage.
- U.S. Government Accountability Office · Jul 21, 2026 ·
CMS’s corrective action plans are not sufficiently detailed and do not adequately monitor progress.
Editor's note: The report states that CMS’s corrective action plans were not sufficiently detailed and did not adequately monitor progress, and it specifically discusses RADV audits, improper payments, and Medicare Advantage fraud risks. The letter is dated July 21, 2026.
- U.S. Government Accountability Office · Jul 21, 2026 ·
- FinancialKey moment
UnitedHealth's MA membership is down 965,000 since year-end as it plans 'selective changes in market participation' for 2027
Second-quarter results showed seniors served through Medicare Advantage had contracted by 965,000 in the first half of 2026, and UnitedHealthcare CEO Tim Noel told analysts the 2027 bids relied on benefit adjustments and selective exits to protect margins. Trade reports later put the 2027 county exits in the dozens across a dozen states.
- UnitedHealth Group Q2 2026 earnings release (SEC 8-K exhibit) · Jul 16, 2026 ·
Seniors served through Medicare Advantage, including programs serving complex populations included in Medicaid, have contracted by 965,000 since year-end 2025.
- UnitedHealth Group Q2 2026 earnings release (SEC 8-K exhibit) · Jul 16, 2026 ·
- Legal
Elevance Health sues HHS and CMS over star-ratings recalculation
Elevance Health sued the Department of Health and Human Services and the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services over the recalculation of Medicare Advantage quality ratings. Elevance Health alleged that the recalculation did not align with the Clover Health ruling and affected $115 million in payments.
- U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Georgia order, reproduced by Justia · Aug 27, 2026 ·
Plaintiffs filed the instant action on July 1, 2026.
- STAT · Jul 2, 2026 ·
Elevance Health has sued the U.S. government, alleging that federal efforts to recalculate its Medicare Advantage quality ratings didn’t align with a recent court ruling, costing the health insurer $115 million.
responded to CMS begins recalculating certain 2027 quality bonus ratings.
Editor's note: The order states that Elevance and affiliates sued HHS and CMS over the Star Ratings/QBP recalculation following Clover, alleging different treatment and an approximately $115 million increase in 2027 QBP payments under their proposed recalculation. It expressly states that plaintiffs filed the action on July 1, 2026.
- U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Georgia order, reproduced by Justia · Aug 27, 2026 ·
- Regulatory
Lloyd Doggett and colleagues introduce the Saving MEDICARE Act
Representative Lloyd Doggett and 44 colleagues introduced the Saving MEDICARE Act. The bill addresses Medicare Advantage payments, coding, quality bonuses, and RADV audit oversight.
- Office of Rep. Lloyd Doggett · Jul 1, 2026 ·
Today, U.S. Representative Lloyd Doggett (D-TX), Ranking Member of the House Ways & Means Health Subcommittee, joined by 44 colleagues, introduced the Saving Medicare Enrollees from Deceptive Insurers and Creating Ample Resources for Everyone (Saving MEDICARE) Act.
Editor's note: The page states that Rep. Lloyd Doggett, joined by 44 colleagues, introduced the Saving MEDICARE Act on July 1, 2026. It describes provisions concerning Medicare Advantage overpayments, diagnosis coding/upcoding, the Quality Bonus Program, and RADV audit oversight.
- Office of Rep. Lloyd Doggett · Jul 1, 2026 ·
- Regulatory
CMS begins recalculating certain 2027 quality bonus ratings
CMS issued guidance that it was voluntarily recalculating 2027 Quality Bonus Payment ratings for certain Medicare Advantage contracts. CMS said the recalculation resulted from the preceding court decision.
- Clover Health Form 8-K · Jun 18, 2026 ·
On June 17, 2026, CMS issued updated guidance informing all Medicare Advantage Organizations that it was voluntarily recalculating the 2027 Quality Bonus Payment ratings for certain Medicare Advantage contracts as a result of the preceding decision.
was answered by Elevance Health sues HHS and CMS over star-ratings recalculation.
Editor's note: The filing states that CMS issued updated guidance on June 17, 2026, voluntarily recalculating 2027 Quality Bonus Payment ratings for certain Medicare Advantage contracts because of the preceding decision. The quoted language appears verbatim apart from formatting.
- Clover Health Form 8-K · Jun 18, 2026 ·
- Regulatory
CMS recalculates Clover rating to 4.5 stars
CMS informed Clover that it had recalculated Clover's 2026 Star Rating to 4.5 stars. CMS instructed Clover to submit alternate bids using the 4.5-star rating.
- Clover Health Form 8-K · Jun 10, 2026 ·
On June 9, 2026, CMS informed Clover that, consistent with the Court’s order, it has recalculated Clover's 2026 Star Rating as 4.5 Stars, and has instructed Clover to submit alternate bids at 4.5 Stars.
Editor's note: The filing states that on June 9, 2026, CMS informed Clover it had recalculated the 2026 Star Rating to 4.5 Stars and instructed Clover to submit alternate bids at that rating.
- Clover Health Form 8-K · Jun 10, 2026 ·
- Report
KFF: Medicare Advantage holds 55 percent of eligible beneficiaries, but employer-group enrollment falls for the first time since 2010
KFF's annual enrollment update put 2026 MA penetration at 55 percent with UnitedHealthcare and Humana still holding almost half the market, but found enrollment growth slowing sharply, employer and union group plans down by about 31,000, and UnitedHealthcare down nearly 647,000 between March 2025 and March 2026 while Humana gained 1.3 million.
- KFF · Jun 5, 2026 ·
The 2026 enrollment in group plans is a slight decrease from 2025 (a decrease of about 31,000 enrollees), the first time since 2010 that enrollment in this type of plan has declined year-to-year (Figure 5).
- KFF · Jun 5, 2026 ·
- Announcement
Presbyterian Healthcare Services plans to end most MA plans in 2027
Presbyterian Healthcare Services decided to stop offering most Presbyterian Health Plan Medicare Advantage plans in 2027. The organization cited financial losses and Medicare Advantage market conditions.
- Healthcare Finance News · Jun 5, 2026 ·
Presbyterian Healthcare Services will stop offering most of Presbyterian Health Plan's Medicare Advantage plans in 2027, citing financial losses and broader challenges in the Medicare Advantage market.
Editor's note: The page states that Presbyterian Healthcare Services will stop offering most Presbyterian Health Plan Medicare Advantage plans in 2027, citing financial losses and broader Medicare Advantage market challenges. The article is dated 2026-06-05, which supports the node's June 2026 date.
- Healthcare Finance News · Jun 5, 2026 ·
- Financial
Elevance Health wires $342.2 million to CMS
Elevance Health sent a $342.2 million wire payment to the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services in connection with a Medicare Advantage risk-adjustment enforcement matter. Court records reported that the wire transfer occurred on May 27.
- Fierce Healthcare / KFF Health News · Jun 26, 2026 ·
Elevance Health, which covers about 2 million people on Medicare, sent the money to the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services via wire transfer on May 27, court records show.
Editor's note: The article states that Elevance Health sent a $342,209,085.30 wire payment to CMS and that court records show the transfer occurred on May 27. It characterizes the payment as related to a CMS enforcement action involving Medicare Advantage billing-data compliance and overpayments.
- Fierce Healthcare / KFF Health News · Jun 26, 2026 ·
- LegalKey moment
Clover wins a ruling that CMS exceeded its authority on ten star-ratings measures
A federal district court granted Clover Insurance partial summary judgment, holding that CMS exceeded its statutory authority in calculating ten star measures and skipped notice-and-comment on ten more, the second court in a year to upend the ratings. Humana cited the decision in its pending Fifth Circuit appeal a week later.
- Groom Law Group · May 28, 2026 ·
On May 27, 2026, a federal district court granted partial summary judgment for Clover Insurance Company (“Clover”), holding that CMS exceeded its statutory authority in calculating ten Star Ratings measures and separately failed to satisfy notice-and-comment rulemaking requirements for ten other measures.
was answered by CMS files notice appealing Clover star-ratings ruling.
- Groom Law Group · May 28, 2026 ·
- RegulatoryKey moment
CMS finalizes 2027 rates at 2.48 percent, over $13 billion, up from the near-zero proposal
The final 2027 rate announcement raised the net payment update from 0.09 percent to 2.48 percent, about 4.98 percent once expected risk-score growth is counted, mainly by updating the effective growth rate with newer fee-for-service data. Plan stocks rallied, but the update still trailed the 5.06 percent of 2026 and medical-cost trends insurers said were running near 7 percent.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Apr 6, 2026 ·
The final policies in the CY 2027 Rate Announcement are projected to result in an increase of 2.48% or over $13 billion in payments to MA plans in CY 2027. When accounting for estimated risk score trend in MA due to factors such as population changes and coding practices, this amounts to a 4.98% increase.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Apr 6, 2026 ·
- Regulatory
2027 final rule reshapes star ratings and rolls back 2023 marketing safeguards
The contract-year 2027 rule dropped the planned health-equity reward in favour of the historical reward factor, removed a set of star measures including call-center tests and added a depression screening measure, codified the Inflation Reduction Act's Part D redesign, and eased marketing rules such as the 48-hour scope-of-appointment wait, effective October 1, 2026. CMS declined to finalise several beneficiary-protection proposals from the Biden era.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Apr 2, 2026 ·
First, for the 2027 Star Ratings, CMS is not implementing the Excellent Health Outcomes for All reward (previously called the Health Equity Index reward) that was developed to incentivize improved performance for a subset of enrollees and will continue the historical reward factor that encourages consistently high performance for all enrollees across all quality measures.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Apr 2, 2026 ·
- ReportKey moment
Enrollment data: MA grows only 3 percent to 35.5 million; UnitedHealthcare down 9 percent since October
A Healthcare Dive analysis of CMS enrollment files showed 35.5 million people in Medicare Advantage in February 2026 versus 34.4 million a year earlier, growth of about 3 percent against a historical pace of up to 10 percent. UnitedHealthcare fell to just under 9.4 million from 10.3 million before open enrollment; Elevance, Centene and CVS lost 14, 4 and 3 percent of members; Humana was the big gainer.
- Healthcare Dive · Feb 24, 2026 ·
Almost 35.5 million people were enrolled in the privatized Medicare programs as of February, compared with about 34.4 million people in the same month last year, according to new government data.
- Healthcare Dive · Feb 24, 2026 ·
- Financial
Humana guides to 25 percent individual MA growth for 2026 as rivals retreat, despite a star-ratings hit
Humana reported a $796 million fourth-quarter loss but said it had added roughly a million individual MA members during open enrollment, with over 70 percent of new sales switching from competitors, and expected about 25 percent growth for 2026. It guided to lower earnings because of the Bonus Year 2026 star-ratings headwind, with about 45 percent of members in 4-star-plus contracts.
- Humana Q4 2025 earnings release (SEC 8-K exhibit) · Feb 11, 2026 ·
Anticipates FY 2026 individual Medicare Advantage membership growth of 'approximately 25 percent' over 2025; driven by new sales and improved retention from the company's customer-led benefit strategy and changes to its customer service approach
- Humana Q4 2025 earnings release (SEC 8-K exhibit) · Feb 11, 2026 ·
- Financial
UnitedHealth expects to shed 1.3 to 1.4 million Medicare Advantage members in 2026
On its fourth-quarter call UnitedHealthcare CEO Tim Noel said membership losses would exceed the company's plan because an intensely competitive enrollment season drove more plan-shopping than expected; the 2026 approach favoured margin over volume. UnitedHealth's full-year guidance implied MA membership of 7.2 to 7.3 million, down from about 8.4 million.
- Fierce Healthcare · Jan 27, 2026 ·
UnitedHealth now expects to lose between 1.3 million and 1.4 million Medicare Advantage members in 2026 across group, individual and dual special needs plans.
- Fierce Healthcare · Jan 27, 2026 ·
- Regulatory
2027 advance notice proposes an almost flat 0.09 percent payment update
CMS proposed a net average increase of just 0.09 percent, about $700 million, for 2027, its smallest in years, citing the star ratings, risk-adjustment trends and the continued phase-in of the 2024 risk model. Insurers and Wall Street read the notice as confirmation that 2027 benefits and footprints would shrink further.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Jan 26, 2026 ·
If finalized, the proposed policies are projected to result in a net average year-over-year payment increase of 0.09%, or over $700 million in MA payments to plans in CY 2027.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Jan 26, 2026 ·
- Legal
Kaiser Permanente affiliates agree to pay $556 million in FCA settlement
Kaiser Permanente affiliates agreed to pay $556 million to resolve False Claims Act allegations that they submitted invalid diagnosis codes for Medicare Advantage enrollees to obtain higher payments, one of the largest risk-adjustment settlements to date. Kaiser said the agreement contains no admission of wrongdoing or liability.
- U.S. Department of Justice · Jan 14, 2026 ·
Affiliates of Kaiser Permanente, an integrated healthcare consortium headquartered in Oakland, California, have agreed to pay $556 million to resolve allegations that they violated the False Claims Act by submitting invalid diagnosis codes for their Medicare Advantage Plan enrollees in order to receive higher payments from the government.
- Kaiser Permanente · Jan 14, 2026 ·
The agreement resolves a False Claims Act lawsuit and has no admission of wrongdoing or liability.
Editor's note: Hand-checked: DOJ release carries the $556 million figure; Kaiser statement carries the no-admission language.
- U.S. Department of Justice · Jan 14, 2026 ·
202511 entries
- Legal
Humana loses its second lawsuit over the 2025 star ratings, a day before open enrollment
Judge Reed O'Connor ruled that CMS acted lawfully when it downgraded Humana's ratings on the strength of a few failed test calls to its customer service lines, dismissing the case with prejudice. The 2025 downgrade had pushed most of Humana's members out of four-star plans and cost it an estimated billion dollars or more in 2026 bonus revenue; Humana appealed to the Fifth Circuit in late November.
- Healthcare Dive · Oct 14, 2025 ·
A federal judge ruled in favor of the CMS on Tuesday, one day before the start of Medicare open enrollment.
- Healthcare Dive · Dec 1, 2025 ·
The insurer continues to try to prove that regulators acted arbitrarily in downgrading its quality scores for 2025, despite numerous setbacks in the courts to date.
- Healthcare Dive · Oct 14, 2025 ·
- Report
2026 star ratings: 40 percent of MA-PD contracts at four stars or better, covering 64 percent of enrollees
CMS posted the 2026 star ratings on the Plan Finder on October 9, 2025. About 207 MA-PD contracts, 40 percent, earned four or more stars, and the enrollment-weighted average rating edged up to 3.98 from 3.95. The ratings set the 2027 quality bonus payments that feed into the 2027 rate announcement.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Nov 18, 2025 ·
Approximately 40% of MA-PDs (207 contracts) that will be offered in 2026 earned four stars or higher for their 2026 overall rating.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Nov 18, 2025 ·
- Announcement
UnitedHealthcare confirms full exits from 16 markets, 109 fewer counties, for 2026
As the 2026 plan files went public, UnitedHealthcare confirmed it would leave Medicare Advantage entirely in 16 markets, affecting about 180,000 members, and offer plans in one fewer state and 109 fewer counties. Humana cut 194 counties and three states, and Aetna about 90 plans across 100 counties; Elevance added counties but left the standalone Part D market.
- Insurance Business · Oct 2, 2025 ·
UnitedHealthcare will fully exit Medicare Advantage plans in 16 US markets for the 2026 plan year the company confirmed. The move, which will affect about 180,000 policyholders, has been described as part of a broader Medicare Advantage pullback previously announced, which is expected to impact 600,000 policyholders nationwide.
- Insurance Business · Oct 2, 2025 ·
- Report
CMS projects the first fall in Medicare Advantage enrollment, to 34 million, as 2026 plans are filed
Previewing the 2026 landscape, CMS said plans' own bids projected enrollment of 34 million, down from 34.9 million and from 50 percent of Medicare to about 48 percent, though the agency expected actual enrollment to hold up better. Average MA premiums were projected to fall from $16.40 to $14.00 a month, with 99 percent of beneficiaries still having access to a plan.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Sep 26, 2025 ·
Based on plans’ projections, enrollment in MA is projected to be 34 million in 2026, a decrease from 34.9 million in 2025, with MA enrollment representing approximately 48% of all people enrolled in Medicare, compared to 50% in 2025.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Sep 26, 2025 ·
- LegalKey moment
Judge O'Connor vacates the 2023 RADV audit rule that let CMS extrapolate overpayments
In Humana v. Becerra, the Northern District of Texas granted Humana summary judgment and threw out the 2023 final rule on procedural grounds, finding CMS had changed its justification for dropping the fee-for-service adjuster between proposal and final rule. The decision undercut the extrapolation behind the audit expansion announced in May; CMS appealed to the Fifth Circuit on November 21 and said audits would continue.
- STAT · Sep 25, 2025 ·
A federal judge on Thursday vacated a Biden-era rule that would have allowed the government to intensify its audits of private Medicare plans and recoup billions of dollars in overpayments over the next decade. Judge Reed O’Connor of the Northern District of Texas granted health insurer Humana’s motion for summary judgment in its lawsuit challenging a Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services’ final rule from 2023 that would have increased so-called “risk adjustment data verification,” or RADV, audits of Medicare Advantage plans, which verify that the diagnoses Medicare Advantage plans record for their members are supported in those members’ medical records.
- STAT · Sep 25, 2025 ·
- Financial
Humana's 2025 plan and county exits touch about 560,000 members; it trims the expected loss to 500,000
Humana said its decision to leave unprofitable plans and counties for 2025 had affected roughly 560,000 members, partly offset by new sales, so it now expected individual Medicare Advantage membership to fall by up to 500,000 for the year rather than about 550,000. The insurer was still absorbing the loss of most of its 4-star-rated membership from the 2025 star ratings.
- Humana Q2 2025 prepared remarks (SEC 8-K exhibit) · Jul 30, 2025 ·
We now anticipate a FY 2025 decline of ‘up to 500,000’ individual MA members as compared to our previous expectation of a decline of ‘approximately 550,000’ members oWe now anticipate Consolidated revenues of ‘at least $128 billion’ versus our previous guidance of ‘a range of $126 billion to $128 billion’ supported by better than anticipated individual MA membership and higher than expected payor-agnostic patient growth and script volumes in CenterWell oUpdated FY 2025 Adjusted EPS guidance now contemplates an additional approximately $100 million of incremental investments to improve member and patient outcomes and support operational excellence, positioning the company for long-term success Additional investments focused on initiatives that have shown strong returns YTD
- Humana Q2 2025 prepared remarks (SEC 8-K exhibit) · Jul 30, 2025 ·
- Financial
UnitedHealthcare will exit plans serving more than 600,000 Medicare Advantage members in 2026
Reporting second-quarter results under returning CEO Stephen Hemsley, UnitedHealth said outpatient medical costs were running well above expectations and that its insurance arm would leave plans covering over 600,000 people for 2026, mostly PPOs, and might also shrink its Affordable Care Act footprint. UnitedHealthcare CEO Tim Noel said the company would prioritise margin over membership.
- Healthcare Finance News · Jul 30, 2025 ·
Without giving details of which markets would be affected, UnitedHealthcare CEO Tim Noel said, “Additionally, and unfortunately, given these pressures, we have made the difficult decision to exit plans that currently serve over 600,000 members, primarily in less managed products such as PPO offerings.” The company is taking similar approaches for its Medicare supplement, Group Medicare Advantage and stand-alone Part D pricing for next year, Noel said.
- Healthcare Finance News · Jul 30, 2025 ·
- Legal
UnitedHealth confirms criminal and civil Justice Department investigations into its Medicare business
After months of press reports, UnitedHealth Group disclosed in an 8-K that it had approached the Department of Justice and was complying with formal criminal and civil requests about its participation in Medicare, while insisting its practices were among the most accurate in the industry. The probe centred on risk-adjustment coding in Medicare Advantage; the company also launched a third-party review of its policies.
- UnitedHealth Group Form 8-K (SEC) · Jul 24, 2025 ·
UnitedHealth Group (the “Company”) proactively reached out to the Department of Justice after reviewing media reports about investigations into certain aspects of the Company’s participation in the Medicare program. The Company has now begun complying with formal criminal and civil requests from the Department.
- UnitedHealth Group Form 8-K (SEC) · Jul 24, 2025 ·
- Announcement
Insurers pledge to Kennedy and Oz to cut prior authorization by 2026 and standardize it by 2027
At an HHS roundtable, Aetna, Humana, UnitedHealthcare, Elevance, Centene, Cigna, Kaiser Permanente, the Blues and AHIP committed to six voluntary reforms across Medicare Advantage, Medicaid managed care and commercial plans: fewer services subject to prior authorization in 2026, real-time electronic approvals and honouring other insurers' decisions by 2027. A year later, KFF Health News found insurers hedging on the promises.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Jun 23, 2025 ·
In a roundtable discussion hosted by HHS, health insurers pledged six key reforms aimed at cutting red tape, accelerating care decisions, and enhancing transparency for patients and providers.
was answered by UnitedHealthcare removes 30 percent of prior authorization requirements.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Jun 23, 2025 ·
- RegulatoryKey moment
CMS says it will audit every Medicare Advantage contract every year and clear the 2018 to 2024 backlog
Administrator Mehmet Oz announced that Risk Adjustment Data Validation audits would cover all roughly 550 MA contracts annually instead of about 60, with coders expanded from 40 to about 2,000 and the backlog of payment years 2018 to 2024 to be completed by early 2026. CMS cited estimates of up to $17 billion a year in overpayments from unsupported diagnoses.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · May 21, 2025 ·
Today, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) announced a significant expansion of its auditing efforts for Medicare Advantage (MA) plans. Beginning immediately, CMS will audit all eligible MA contracts for each payment year in all newly initiated audits and invest additional resources to expedite the completion of audits for payment years 2018 through 2024.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · May 21, 2025 ·
- RegulatoryKey moment
CMS finalizes 2026 Medicare Advantage rates: a 5.06 percent increase, about $25 billion more for plans
Two months into the Trump administration, CMS finalized the 2026 rate announcement with a net payment increase of 5.06 percent, more than double the 2.23 percent the Biden administration had proposed in January, largely by using more recent claims data. It followed the April 4 final rule that dropped Biden-era proposals such as covering anti-obesity drugs.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Apr 7, 2025 ·
Today, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) released the Calendar Year (CY) 2026 Rate Announcement for the Medicare Advantage (MA) and Medicare Part D Prescription Drug Programs that finalizes the payment policies for these programs.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services · Apr 7, 2025 ·
- Oct 14, 2025Humana loses its second lawsuit over the 2025 star ratings, a day before open enrollment
- Oct 9, 20252026 star ratings: 40 percent of MA-PD contracts at four stars or better, covering 64 percent of enrollees
- Oct 2, 2025UnitedHealthcare confirms full exits from 16 markets, 109 fewer counties, for 2026
- Sep 26, 2025CMS projects the first fall in Medicare Advantage enrollment, to 34 million, as 2026 plans are filed
- Sep 25, 2025Judge O'Connor vacates the 2023 RADV audit rule that let CMS extrapolate overpayments
- Jul 30, 2025Humana's 2025 plan and county exits touch about 560,000 members; it trims the expected loss to 500,000
- Jul 29, 2025UnitedHealthcare will exit plans serving more than 600,000 Medicare Advantage members in 2026
- Jul 24, 2025UnitedHealth confirms criminal and civil Justice Department investigations into its Medicare business
- Jun 23, 2025Insurers pledge to Kennedy and Oz to cut prior authorization by 2026 and standardize it by 2027
- May 21, 2025CMS says it will audit every Medicare Advantage contract every year and clear the 2018 to 2024 backlog
- Apr 7, 2025CMS finalizes 2026 Medicare Advantage rates: a 5.06 percent increase, about $25 billion more for plans
Questions this timeline answers
Each one is an ordered set of dated entries, most of them from this page, with a line on why each step led to the next.
Cause and effect
- Clover wins a ruling that CMS exceeded its authority on ten star-ratings measureswas answered by →CMS files notice appealing Clover star-ratings rulingCMS's notice of appeal challenged the district court decision in the Stars Litigation.
- CMS begins recalculating certain 2027 quality bonus ratingswas answered by →Elevance Health sues HHS and CMS over star-ratings recalculationElevance Health's July 1 lawsuit challenged CMS's post-Clover recalculation of quality-bonus-payment ratings.
- Insurers pledge to Kennedy and Oz to cut prior authorization by 2026 and standardize it by 2027was answered by →UnitedHealthcare removes 30 percent of prior authorization requirementsUnitedHealthcare's September notice says it will eliminate prior-authorization requirements beginning October 1, including for Medicare Advantage plans, providing a dated implementation step after the industry pledge.
Where sources disagree or fall silent
- Whether CMS will collect extrapolated RADV overpayments, rather than only sampled-enrollee errors, after the rule authorizing extrapolation was vacated.
- How the Fifth Circuit will resolve CMS's appeal of the RADV ruling and Humana's appeal over its 2025 star ratings.
- Whether CMS's appeal of Clover's ruling, Elevance's recalculation suit, and Alignment's methodology suit will further change star ratings or quality-bonus payments.
- How far 2027 enrollment will shift during and after open enrollment as terminated-plan members choose among reduced offerings; CMS describes national access as stable, while KFF identifies 193 counties with no general-enrollment MA-PD plan.
- Whether insurers' voluntary prior-authorization commitments will be implemented consistently across the industry; UnitedHealthcare has announced a concrete reduction, but the broader commitments extend into 2027.
What to watch next
- Oct 15, 2026 — Medicare open enrollment opens for 2027 coverage Beneficiaries begin selecting among 2027 MA and Part D offerings after announced plan exits, benefit changes, and premium disclosures.
- Oct 27, 2026 — Centene reports third-quarter 2026 results Centene may update its MA enrollment, pricing, and planned 2027 withdrawals from three states.
- Oct 30, 2026 — Clover's response brief is due in CMS's star-ratings appeal The filing advances CMS's appeal of the ruling that prompted ratings recalculations and affected quality-bonus payments.
- Nov 2026 — CMS plans to initiate the payment-year 2023 RADV audit It is the first audit scheduled under CMS's every-contract, every-year approach, while recovery methodology remains unresolved.
- Nov 20, 2026 — CMS reply brief is due in Clover's star-ratings appeal The deadline moves the appellate dispute over CMS's star measures and related quality-bonus payments forward.
- Dec 7, 2026 — Medicare open enrollment closes This is the deadline for most beneficiaries to choose MA or Part D coverage for 2027.
- Dec 31, 2026 — Non-renewed Medicare Advantage plans end Members in plans that are not renewed will lose coverage under those plans at year-end.
- Mar 31, 2027 — Medicare Advantage open enrollment ends Current MA members retain a final period to make a permitted coverage change or return to Original Medicare after experiencing their 2027 coverage.
Who is involved
Sets Medicare Advantage and Part D payment, plan, star-rating, marketing, and RADV audit policies.
- Medicare Advantageproduct
The private-plan Medicare program facing slower growth, insurer retrenchment, audit scrutiny and changes for 2027.
- Humanacompany
A major MA insurer that is exiting plans affecting about 600,000 members for 2027 while appealing its earlier star-ratings case.
- UnitedHealthcarecompany
UnitedHealth's insurance unit, reducing MA participation and benefits while eliminating 30% of prior-authorization requirements beginning October 1.
- CMSregulator
Federal agency whose Medicare Advantage payments were implicated by the alleged coding.
- Mehmet Ozperson
CMS administrator who announced the plan to audit every Medicare Advantage contract annually.
- UnitedHealth Groupcompany
Parent of UnitedHealthcare; disclosed Justice Department Medicare investigations and has overseen major MA membership losses and 2027 plan changes.
- Aetnacompany
CVS's insurer subsidiary, reducing MA offerings and ending commissions on certain MA plans.
39 more
- Clover Healthcompany
Won a district-court ruling against aspects of CMS's star methodology, obtained a recalculated rating, and is defending that ruling on appeal.
- Elevance Healthcompany
Made a $342.2 million payment to CMS in a risk-adjustment enforcement matter and is challenging CMS's post-Clover star-ratings recalculation.
CMS's parent department and a defendant in the star-ratings litigation.
- KFFcompany
Tracks MA enrollment, plan availability, and the reduction in plan choices for beneficiaries.
- RADV auditsother
CMS's risk-adjustment audit program, which is expanding while the legality and use of extrapolated recoveries remain unsettled.
- Tim Noelperson
UnitedHealthcare CEO who has said the company is prioritizing margins over membership and using benefit changes and exits for 2027.
- U.S. Department of Justiceregulator
Pursues risk-adjustment investigations and False Claims Act settlements involving Medicare Advantage coding.
- Alignment Healthcarecompany
Has sued CMS over its methodology for the 2027 Medicare Advantage star ratings.
- Celeste Melletperson
Confirmed that Humana's 2027 plan exits would affect roughly 600,000 members.
- Centenecompany
Plans to withdraw MA offerings from Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Hawaii for 2027 and cut plans in other markets.
- Healthcare Divecompany
Reported analysis of reductions to UnitedHealthcare dental benefits.
- Medicare Part Dproduct
The prescription-drug benefit whose 2027 base premium rises under the IRA cap as a stabilization demonstration ends.
- Reed O'Connorperson
Ruled for Humana in the RADV case and later ruled that CMS lawfully downgraded Humana's star ratings.
- AHIPcompany
Committed with insurers to six voluntary prior-authorization reforms at an HHS roundtable.
- CDATproduct
CMS system used by selected contracts to view and download RADV enrollee data lists.
- Centralized Data Abstraction Toolproduct
CMS tool for submitting RADV medical records and coversheets.
- District of Columbia federal courtregulator
Court in which Alignment Healthcare filed its lawsuit against CMS.
- Florida Bluecompany
Medicare Advantage organization associated with submitted diagnosis codes at issue.
- GuideWellcompany
Organization associated with a Medicare Advantage organization that received submitted diagnosis codes at issue.
- H.R. 4093other
Apples to Apples Comparison Act advanced by the House Ways and Means Committee.
- Health Care Service Corporationcompany
Following its acquisition of Cigna's Medicare business, it is sharply shrinking its 2027 MA county footprint.
- Healthcare Leadership Councilother
Published a statement on the advancement of H.R. 4093.
- Highmarkcompany
An insurer that says it will retain its 2026 MA states and counties for 2027, contrasting with broader market exits.
Committee that advanced H.R. 4093.
- Kaiser Permanentecompany
Its affiliates agreed to a $556 million settlement over alleged invalid MA diagnosis codes, without admitting liability.
- Lloyd Doggettperson
Representative who introduced the Saving MEDICARE Act addressing MA payments, coding, quality bonuses, and RADV oversight.
- Medicareproduct
Program compared with Medicare Advantage under H.R. 4093.
- Medicare Advantage organizationsother
Organizations whose HMO and PPO bids were analyzed by MedPAC.
- Medicare Payment Advisory Commissionregulator
Analyzes MA payment and bidding patterns, including substantial variation in risk-standardized bids.
- Modern Healthcareother
Outlet that reviewed the preliminary broker filing described by Healthcare Dive.
- Presbyterian Healthcare Servicescompany
Plans to end most of its MA plans in 2027, citing losses and MA market conditions.
- Providence Health Plancompany
Is closing after a proposed deal to sustain its MA business failed, affecting more than 64,000 MA members.
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.person
HHS secretary who joined Oz in securing insurers' voluntary prior-authorization commitments.
- Star Ratingsproduct
CMS quality-rating system undergoing the 2027 plan-preview process.
- The Villages Health Systemcompany
Agreed to a $541.5 million settlement over self-disclosed allegations involving unsupported MA diagnosis codes.
- U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuitother
Court where CMS filed its notice of appeal.
- U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Texasregulator
Granted Humana summary judgment and vacated the 2023 RADV audit rule on procedural grounds.
- U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Georgiaregulator
Denied Elevance Health's preliminary-injunction motion and the government's dismissal motion.
Reported deficiencies in CMS corrective-action plans for Medicare Advantage program integrity.
Changelog
- Added 6 entries: 2026-10-08 CMS releases 2027 Medicare Advantage and Part D star ratings; 2026-10-08 Humana says 95 percent of MA members are in four-star plans; 2026-10-08 Aetna says over 69 percent of MA members are in four-star plans; 2026-10-08 Clover Health says its PPO MA plans earned five stars for 2027 and 2 more.
- Added 1 entry: 2026-10-01 HCSC plans to cut its Medicare Advantage county footprint.
- Added 3 entries: 2026-10-01 KFF reports fewer MA-PD plan choices for 2027; 2026-10-01 Healthcare Dive reports UnitedHealthcare dental-benefit reductions; 2026-10-01 Highmark retains all 2026 Medicare Advantage states and counties.
- Added 5 entries: 2026-08 UnitedHealthcare considers leaving 34 MA counties for 2027; 2026-08-26 The Villages Health System agrees to $541.5 million FCA settlement; 2026-09-04 MedPAC reports variation in risk-standardized MA plan bids; 2026-09-28 CMS projects about 5,532 Medicare Advantage plans for 2027 and 1 more.
- Added 3 entries: 2026-09-15 Aetna stops commissions on certain Medicare Advantage plans; 2026-09-16 House Ways and Means advances H.R. 4093; 2026-09-18 CMS opens PY2024 RADV medical-record submission window.
- Added 5 entries: 2026-08-19 Providence Health Plan will close entirely after its Medicare Advantage deal collapses; 2026-08-20 Centene will cut Medicare Advantage plans and exit three states in 2027; 2026-09-01 UnitedHealthcare removes 30 percent of prior authorization requirements; 2026-09-09 CMS opens second preview for preliminary 2027 star ratings and 1 more.
- Added 11 entries: 2026-01-14 Kaiser Permanente affiliates agree to pay $556 million in FCA settlement; 2026-05-27 Elevance Health wires $342.2 million to CMS; 2026-06 Presbyterian Healthcare Services plans to end most MA plans in 2027; 2026-06-09 CMS recalculates Clover rating to 4.5 stars and 7 more. Added 23 hand-verified entries by the editor.
A research pass records each dated fact with the page it came from and a verbatim quote. A second, independent pass re-opens every cited page and rejects entries it cannot confirm. The editor reviews what remains before it is published, and every change is listed above. Full method.