{ "data_version": "1", "schema": "https://whatledto.com/data", "id": "christopher-j-waller", "name": "Christopher J. Waller", "kind": "person", "url": "https://whatledto.com/who/christopher-j-waller", "description": "", "same_as": [], "timelines": [ { "slug": "fed-rate-path-2025-2026", "title": "The Fed's Rate Path: From the 2024 Cuts to Warsh's First Meetings", "url": "https://whatledto.com/events/fed-rate-path-2025-2026", "json": "https://whatledto.com/events/fed-rate-path-2025-2026.json", "role": "Fed governor who dissented for cuts in 2025 and January 2026, then said further increases could be needed if data met expectations.", "entries": 3, "updated_at": "2026-10-16T02:10:22.232634+00:00" } ], "entries": [ { "timeline": "fed-rate-path-2025-2026", "id": 2130, "url": "https://whatledto.com/events/fed-rate-path-2025-2026#n2130", "date": "2026-10-08", "date_precision": "day", "title": "Waller anticipates additional rate increases if data meet expectations", "summary": "Christopher J. Waller said he anticipated additional rate increases if economic data continued as expected. He said there was flexibility over when those increases would occur.", "type": "response", "entities": [ "Christopher J. Waller", "Federal Open Market Committee", "Federal Reserve" ], "parties": [ "christopher-j-waller", "federal-open-market-committee", "federal-reserve" ], "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/waller20261008a.htm", "outlet": "Federal Reserve Board", "published": "2026-10-08", "quote": "If the economic data continue to come in as expected, I anticipate additional hikes to support a timelier return of inflation to our 2 percent goal." }, { "url": "https://www.axios.com/2026/10/08/interest-rate-hikes-fed-waller", "outlet": "Axios", "published": "2026-10-08", "quote": "But there is some flexibility about when those hikes will occur." } ] }, { "timeline": "fed-rate-path-2025-2026", "id": 2129, "url": "https://whatledto.com/events/fed-rate-path-2025-2026#n2129", "date": "2026-10-07", "date_precision": "day", "title": "Futures price 85 percent odds of a December rate increase", "summary": "Federal-funds futures prices implied an 85 percent probability of at least one rate increase by the end of the Federal Open Market Committee’s December meeting. The same prices put the probability of two increases by that meeting at nearly 20 percent.", "type": "financial", "entities": [ "Christopher J. Waller", "Federal Open Market Committee", "Federal Reserve" ], "parties": [ "christopher-j-waller", "federal-open-market-committee", "federal-reserve" ], "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/waller20261008a.htm", "outlet": "Federal Reserve Board", "published": "2026-10-08", "quote": "According to futures market prices for the federal funds rate as of yesterday, traders see an 85 percent chance of at least one hike by the end of the FOMC's December meeting and nearly 20 percent chance of two hikes." } ] }, { "timeline": "fed-rate-path-2025-2026", "id": 820, "url": "https://whatledto.com/events/fed-rate-path-2025-2026#n820", "date": "2026-09-03", "date_precision": "day", "title": "Christopher Waller ties September vote to August inflation data", "summary": "Governor Christopher J. Waller said his September vote would depend principally on the August inflation data. He said continued inflation progress would incline him to support holding rates, while a hot reading could lead him to consider a rate increase.", "type": "response", "entities": [ "Christopher J. Waller", "Federal Reserve", "Federal Open Market Committee" ], "parties": [ "christopher-j-waller", "federal-reserve", "federal-open-market-committee" ], "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/waller20260903a.htm", "outlet": "Federal Reserve Board", "published": "2026-09-03", "quote": "But if inflation comes in hot, I would consider a rate hike." }, { "url": "https://apnews.com/article/5506d6b43cc2e3d4144f622f8cc29e43", "outlet": "Associated Press", "published": "2026-09-03", "quote": "The government will release August inflation figures Sept. 11, and if that report shows inflation continues to cool, then Waller said he 'would be inclined' to keep the Fed's benchmark interest rate unchanged." } ] } ], "often_with": [ { "id": "us-government", "name": "U.S. government", "url": "https://whatledto.com/who/us-government", "json": "https://whatledto.com/who/us-government.json", "shared_timelines": 1 }, { "id": "donald-trump", "name": "Donald Trump", "url": "https://whatledto.com/who/donald-trump", "json": "https://whatledto.com/who/donald-trump.json", "shared_timelines": 1 }, { "id": "freddie-mac", "name": "Freddie Mac", "url": "https://whatledto.com/who/freddie-mac", "json": "https://whatledto.com/who/freddie-mac.json", "shared_timelines": 1 }, { "id": "bureau-of-labor-statistics", "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "url": "https://whatledto.com/who/bureau-of-labor-statistics", "json": "https://whatledto.com/who/bureau-of-labor-statistics.json", "shared_timelines": 1 }, { "id": "bill-pulte", "name": "Bill Pulte", "url": "https://whatledto.com/who/bill-pulte", "json": "https://whatledto.com/who/bill-pulte.json", "shared_timelines": 1 }, { "id": "kevin-warsh", "name": "Kevin Warsh", "url": "https://whatledto.com/who/kevin-warsh", "json": "https://whatledto.com/who/kevin-warsh.json", "shared_timelines": 1 }, { "id": "federal-housing-finance-agency", "name": "Federal Housing Finance Agency", "url": "https://whatledto.com/who/federal-housing-finance-agency", "json": "https://whatledto.com/who/federal-housing-finance-agency.json", "shared_timelines": 1 }, { "id": "federal-reserve", "name": "Federal Reserve", "url": "https://whatledto.com/who/federal-reserve", "json": "https://whatledto.com/who/federal-reserve.json", "shared_timelines": 1 } ], "license": { "holder": "What Led To", "terms": "https://whatledto.com/methodology#reuse", "summary": "Quote entries with attribution and a link to the entry; do not republish whole timelines or train models on the text." } }